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North Korea is putting together the necessary infrastructure to collect and receive Western military systems seized in the occupied territories in eastern Ukraine, using proven methods to effect the illegal technology transfers.
Based on their own observations and diplomatic contacts with Pyongyang, the Russian intelligence services expect North Korea to test an inter-continental ballistic missile before 20 September and possibly carry out a nuclear test subsequently in response to a recent South Korean-US military exercise.
President Yoon Seok-youl, who wants to get the intelligence services back to work in the service of the country’s foreign policy priorities – the United States, China and North Korea, is counting on the new head of the National Intelligence Service (NIS), Kim Kyou-hyun, a civil servant who has a close understanding of these three key policy areas.
Ater a break of two years caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, Moscow wants to resume a series of joint industrial projects with its Asian neighbour, while staying within the tight restrictions imposed by the United Nations.
The deterioration of Ukrainian positions in the war with Russia, a situation observed with pessimism by the intelligence community, is now being understood in the White House, despite Anthony Blinken and Lloyd Austin’s more optimistic stance.
Russian paramilitary force Rosgvardia, backed by special forces and intelligence units, has suffered serious setbacks in Ukraine. For the time being, however, its head, Viktor Zolotov, has not been called to account by the Kremlin leadership.
North Korean diplomats recently attended several meetings at Russia’s foreign affairs ministry to discuss their country’s possible role in Donetsk and Lugansk. Pyongyang is reported to have asked for access to Western weapons seized by Moscow and to have offered civilian manpower.
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