Big automakers are reporting big profits for the April-June quarter, and several lifted their full-year outlooks. So everything is fine? Not quite.
Looking ahead, CEOs and CFOs are warning that it will take redoubled cost-cutting to defend profit margins. It’s a tricky message for Wall Street, and for the unions bargaining now with the Detroit Three automakers in the U.S. and Canada.
GM said it will cut capital spending by $1 billion compared to the top-end of its previous plan and lifted its 2023-2024 cost-cutting target by $1 billion. (See the presentation here.) GM’s profit margins narrowed from Q1 to Q2, despite strong pricing in North America. GM raised its full-year profit forecast, to no avail. Investors took the report as a cue to sell.
Hyundai raised its profit forecast for the year and said it’s EV sales in the United States nearly doubled. But Hyundai said it is handing out $4,000 to $5,000 in discounts to push its EVs in the United States because they no longer qualify for federal tax breaks.
Nissan doubled its quarterly profit and lifted its outlook for the fiscal year.
Stellantis turned in the most robust Q2 results of all on Wednesday showing profit margins for its EV-light portfolio are outperforming General Motors, Ford…and Tesla. (STLA shares rose in Milan.)
Stellantis rolled up a 17.5% operating margin in North America – down from 18.1% last year but still well ahead of rivals. (The Stellantis Q2 presentation is here.) That will make it challenging for the company to plead poverty in negotiations with the United Auto Workers.
But Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares warned that more cost-cutting lies ahead if the company is going to continue earning industry-leading margins while building more electric vehicles.
The contraction of Tesla’s pre-tax margins this year shows the stress the EV sector is under as manufacturers try to boost sales to less affluent customers accustomed to being late adopters of novel technology, he said.
“They are entering my world, the world of tight pricing, cost competitiveness, and the operational issues that a big company like ours may face,” Tavares said.
In other words, Welcome to the Jungle.