Elon Musk donned a suit and tie and flew to Beijing over the weekend where he was greeted like a visiting head of state by China’s Premier, then cheered like a rock star by investors.
What he accomplished won’t be clear for months, perhaps years. But investors were sure glad to see Musk devoting so much energy to Tesla. Shares in the world’s most valuable automaker are up 36% since April 22 – adding roughly $165 billion to the company’s market cap. Good timing – the shareholder vote to reinstate Musk’s $56 billion 2018 pay deal, voided by a Delaware judge, is six weeks away.
News that Musk may have secured Beijing’s blessing to launch Tesla’s “Full Self Driving” automation technology in China added $90 billion to Tesla’s market cap on Monday and burned Tesla bears who’d shorted the company’s shares.
Tesla short sellers aren’t the only ones Musk is flaming. The list of senior Tesla executives leaving or getting pushed out as Musk reasserts himself keeps growing.
Musk dismissed the head of Tesla’s new product efforts and its successful charging business and signaled plans to let go hundreds of staffers in their departments, the Information reported. The tech news site quoted a Musk email demanding that Tesla executives be “hard core” about cost cutting.
Musk’s renewed cost-cutting urgency makes sense in light of new data showing an 8% drop in demand for new Teslas in California during Q1.
In China, the prospect that Tesla could start selling FSD technology to new customers is a plus. But it won’t end the grinding price war led by China’s BYD.
FSD does not currently allow drivers to safely tune out and let their Teslas navigate the road unsupervised. It is a so-called “level 2” system that is a long way from Musk’s vision of technology that allows Tesla owners (and the company) to make money renting out their vehicles as robotaxis.
Tesla’s FSD is entering a hypercompetitive market where Chinese rivals have a head start in mapping and managing the complexities of mega-city traffic, as well as a home field regulatory advantage, Reuters reports.
From the Beijing perspective, allowing Tesla to develop automated driving in China is like throwing a big catfish into a pool. The other fish – Chinese autonomous vehicle companies in this case – get stronger or get eaten. Win-win for Chinese state planners who want to lead the world in AI.
It is not clear what terms Musk accepted to bring FSD technology to China. Beijing tightly restricts transfers of data out of the country. Will Tesla be allowed to send data collected by cameras on vehicles in China out of the country for processing by its Nvidia H100 powered AI mega-computers? Washington currently restricts shipments of the highest-powered AI computing chips like the H100 to China – which could make it difficult for Tesla to replicate its AI centers in China.
Will the U.S. politicians who have blasted Ford for collaborating with China’s CATL to build batteries in the United States give Musk a pass on collaborating with China’s Baidu to develop vehicle automation AI in China?
Don’t touch that dial.