With the economic outlook looking uncertain, will technology names continue to be the gift that keeps on giving?
Financial markets have gone into a tailspin as U.S. Treasury yields spiked since U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed could approve another quarter percentage point increase by the end of the year before beginning to cut a few times in 2024.
The prognosis seems more dire, with JPMorgan Chase chief executive Jamie Dimon and Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari adding to the bearish undertones Tuesday. Despite the Fed’s official guidance, they are suggesting that more interest rate hikes may be lurking.
Tech-related names, particularly those in the artificial intelligence space, have been some of the more eye-catching outperformers this year — so how do investors refine their thinking on the sector?
“We’re starting to think that the model of a successful tech company in 2023 … the optimal size is probably not that big,” Herman Narula, chief executive of the Softbank-backed virtual reality startup Improbable, told CNBC. “You probably want to be thinking about much smaller companies overall.”
Improbable said it reduced losses by 85% in 2022, a year that saw the company pivot its focus to powering new “metaverse” experiences. Narula said Improbable has managed to ship more products with fewer people, thanks to advances in generative artificial intelligence.
Will productivity gains be manifest in upcoming tech-related names?
Alibaba logistics unit Cainiao’s planned IPO in Hong Kong could attract robust interest simply due to its association with the Chinese tech giant and international growth. Alibaba has also previously said it hopes to list its cloud business, though nothing has been publicly announced yet.
Tech, with its inherent pioneering promise, is often thought to offer the best hope against the lack of clarity on the future. That may seem like the case in this moment, but it doesn’t hurt to look more deeply.