Geopolitics
The Biden administration is not reaping the political reward it may have hoped for from the swap that ended WNBA star Brittney Griner’s monthslong imprisonment in Russia, according to a new Morning Consult/Politico survey, as conservative opposition outweighs support among the president’s base. 
Former President Donald Trump attacked the deal that freed Griner as “stupid” and “unpatriotic,” and argued her safe return from dangerous and degrading conditions in a Russian prison was not worth the release of the so-called “Merchant of Death.” He belittled Griner as “a basketball player who openly hates our country” and questioned why former U.S. Marine Paul Whelan, who has been held in Russia since December 2018 on espionage charges, was not included in the deal. Conservative commentators have used similar lines of questioning to attack the deal as an example of U.S. “woke” weakness, or to imply the administration does not value veterans such as Whelan.
Whelan’s family, for their part, said “the Biden Administration made the right decision to bring Ms. Griner home, and to make the deal that was possible, rather than waiting for one [including Whelan] that wasn’t going to happen,” and characterized Trump’s comments as “really offensive.” Fiona Hill, who served as senior director for European and Russian affairs on the National Security Council under Trump, said on CBS’ “Face the Nation” that “President Trump wasn’t especially interested in engaging in that swap for Paul Whelan” during his time in office.
Biden administration officials reportedly met with Russian officials on Monday to discuss a deal for Whelan’s release, and the president has vowed to bring him home as well.
The latest Morning Consult/Politico survey was conducted Dec. 9-12, 2022, among a representative sample of 2,005 registered voters, with an unweighted margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
Matthew Kendrick is a data reporter at Morning Consult covering geopolitics and foreign affairs. @matt__kendrick